Giants vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/23/23

Philadelphia Phillies (69-57) vs San Francisco Giants (65-61)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 23, 2023 at 4:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Michael Lorenzen (7-8) (3.57) vs Alex Cobb (6-5) (3.75)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -125 / San Francisco Giants +105 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Francisco Giants will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies have won the first two Games in this series by scores of 10-4 and 4-3. Both of these teams are right in the middle of the NL Wild Card race, but Philadelphia is currently in the first spot. 

Giants Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 65-61 this season and they have lost five of their last six Games. The Giants have struggled recently and have lost six straight series. Prior to this series, San Francisco lost series against the Braves, Rays, Rangers, Angels, and Athletics. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average this year. The Giants offense has scored 542 runs with a .238 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. LaMonte Wade is batting .258 with 13 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Giants. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Alex Cobb, who is 6-5 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 127.1 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-57 this season and they have won three of their last four Games. The Phillies are looking for the series sweep in this matchup, which would be a great bounce back after losing two out of three to Washington over the weekend. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 596 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Bryce Harper is batting .297 with 11 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Michael Lorenzen, who is 7-8 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 126 innings pitched this year.

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Matchup/League Facts

The San Francisco Giants ranks T1st in the league for walks allowed this season (316).

The San Francisco Giants ranks T4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (133).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for doubles this season (231).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (23).

Pick

The Giants will look to avoid being swept in this Game, but they have not played very well over their last few series. San Francisco needs to string some wins together sooner rather than later, as they are right on the edge of a Wild Card spot. The Giants are starting Alex Cobb, who has allowed 15 earned runs in his last three starts (15.1 IP). The Phillies are starting Michael Lorenzen, who has allowed eight earned runs in three starts for Philadelphia since being acquired at the trade deadline. Lorenzen threw the no hitter against Washington two starts ago, but then allowed six earned runs to the same Washington team last weekend. I am going to fade the Giants as they continue to struggle. Take the Phillies here. 

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